Fed Beige Book

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

7-Year Note Auction

4.894%

Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count

US Total Rigs refer to the number of active US rigs drilling in a given week.

Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

US Crude Oil Rigs refer to the number of active US rigs drilling for oil in a given week.

15-Year Mortgage Rate

30-Year Mortgage Rate

The Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20 percent down and have excellent credit. Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. The interest rate a lender would charge to lend mortgage money to a qualified borrower exclusive of the fees and points required by the lender. This commitment rate applies only to conventional financing on conforming mortgages with loan-to-value rates of 80 percent or less.

EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

Natural Gas Stocks Change refers to the weekly change of the natural gas supply situation.

2-Year Bond Auction

17-Week Bill Auction

4-Week Bill Auction

8-Week Bill Auction

Atlanta Fed GDPNow

Atlanta Fed GDPNow is a real-time model from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta that provides a “nowcast” of US real GDP growth for the current quarter before the official estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The model estimates 13 GDP subcomponents: personal consumption expenditures; private fixed investment; change in private inventories; exports; imports; federal government consumption and investment; and state and local government consumption and investment, with several categories further broken down into underlying components. GDPNow is updated as new economic data are released, typically six or seven times a month, and produces a data-driven estimate with no subjective adjustments. It is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed or the Federal Reserve.

Industrial Production YoY

1.8%

In Russia, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 55 percent of total production. The biggest segments within manufacturing are: metallurgy (9.6 percent); coke and refined petroleum products (9.5 percent); food beverages and tobacco (8.4 percent); chemicals (4 percent); machinery and equipment (3.8 percent); transport (3.7 percent) and electrical equipment (3.4 percent). Mining and quarrying accounts for 35 percent, and natural gas and crude oil exploration represents 29 percent of total output. Also, electricity, gas and water supply accounts for 11 percent.

EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change

Crude Runs refer to the volume of crude oil consumed by refineries.

EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change

EIA Crude Oil Imports Change

EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change

Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in storage at the Cushing, Oklahoma storage hub excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve during the past week.

EIA Distillate Stocks Change

EIA Gasoline Production Change

EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change

EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

Stocks of crude oil refer to the weekly change of the crude oil supply situation.

EIA Gasoline Stocks Change

Stocks of gasoline refers to the weekly change of the gasoline supply situation.

New Home Sales

676000

A sale of the new house occurs with the signing of a sales contract or the acceptance of a deposit. The house can be in any stage of construction: not yet started, under construction, or already completed. New home sales account for about 10 percent of the US housing market. New single-family home sales are extremely volatile month-to-month and preliminary figures are subject to large revisions because they are mostly drawn from building permits data.

New Home Sales MoM

-0.6%

A sale of the new house occurs with the signing of a sales contract or the acceptance of a deposit. The house can be in any stage of construction: not yet started, under construction, or already completed. New home sales account for about 10 percent of the US housing market. New single-family home sales are extremely volatile month-to-month and preliminary figures are subject to large revisions because they are mostly drawn from building permits data.

Current Account

8927000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Personal Income MoM

0.2%

Personal Income refers to the income that persons receive in return for their provision of labor, land, and capital used in current production, plus current transfer receipts less contributions for government social insurance.

PCE Prices QoQ 2nd Est

5%

The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Prices measure the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item.

Real Personal Spending MoM

0%

Initial Jobless Claims

Initial jobless claims refer to the number of people who have filed for unemployment benefits with their state's unemployment agency for the first time during a specific reporting period, typically on a weekly basis. .

GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est

2.2%

On the expenditure side, personal consumption expenditures accounts for 68 percent of total GDP out of which purchases of goods constitute 23 percent and services 45 percent. Private investment accounts for 16 percent of GDP and government consumption and investment for 18 percent. As the value of goods exported (13.5 percent) is lower than the value of goods imported (16.5 percent), net exports subtracts 3 percent from the total GDP value.

Personal Spending MoM

0.5%

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is the primary measure of consumer spending on goods and services in the U.S. economy. 1 It accounts for about two-thirds of domestic final spending, and thus it is the primary engine that drives future economic growth. PCE shows how much of the income earned by households is being spent on current consumption as opposed to how much is being saved for future consumption. PCE also provides a comprehensive measure of types of goods and services that are purchased by households. Thus, for example, it shows the portion of spending that is accounted for by discretionary items, such as motor vehicles, or the adjustments that consumers make to changes in prices, such as a sharp run-up in gasoline prices.

Core PCE Price Index YoY

3.1%

In the United States, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid by people for domestic purchases of goods and services, excluding the prices of food and energy. The core PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation measure. The central bank has a 2 percent target.

Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air

PCE Price Index YoY

3.6%

In the United States, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid for domestic purchases of goods and services. While the Consumer Price Index assumes a fixed basket of goods and uses expenditure weights that do not change over time for several years, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index uses a chain index and resorts on expenditure data from the current period and the preceding period (known as Fisher Price Index).

Core PCE Price Index MoM

0.3%

Durable Goods Orders MoM

1.8%

Durable Goods Orders refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods which meant to last at least three years.

GDP Price Index QoQ 2nd Est

6.1%

The GDP Deflator measures the change in prices of final goods and services and it is considered as a key indicator for inflationary pressures, that provides insight into the future direction of monetary policy.

Corporate Profits QoQ Prel

7.7%

Corporate profits represents the portion of the total income earned from current production that is accounted for by U.S. corporations. It is one of the most closely watched U.S. economic indicators, as it provides a summary measure of corporate financial health and thus serves as an essential indicator of economic performance.

PCE Price Index MoM

0.5%

In the United States, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid for domestic purchases of goods and services. While the Consumer Price Index assumes a fixed basket of goods and uses expenditure weights that do not change over time for several years, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index uses a chain index and resorts on expenditure data from the current period and the preceding period (known as Fisher Price Index).

Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM

Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods in the future excluding transportation orders.

Continuing Jobless Claims

Continuing Jobless Claims refer to actual number of unemployed and currently receiving unemployment benefits who filed for unemployment benefits at least two weeks ago.

Jobless Claims 4-week Average

Core PCE Prices QoQ 2nd Est

3.3%

Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM

Durable Goods Orders Excluding Defense refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods in the future excluding defense orders.

GDP Sales QoQ 2nd Est

2.8%

In the United States, final sales of domestic product equals GDP less change in private inventories. It is also equal to the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private fixed investment, government consumption expenditures and gross investment, and net exports of goods and services.

Real Consumer Spending QoQ 2nd Est

3.8%

In the United States, personal consumption expenditure (PCE) is the primary measure of consumer spending in the U.S. economy. It is the National Income and Product Account (NIPA) final-demand component that measures the value of the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, persons who reside in the United States.

Building Permits MoM Final

-0.4%

Building Permits refer to the approvals given by a local jurisdictions before the construction of a new or existing building can legally occur. Not all areas of the United States require a permit for construction.

Building Permits Final

1398000

Building Permits refer to the approvals given by a local jurisdictions before the construction of a new or existing building can legally occur. Not all areas of the United States require a permit for construction.

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate is average 30-year fixed mortgage lending rate measured during the reported week and backed by the Mortgage Bankers Association.

MBA Purchase Index

MBA Mortgage Market Index

The MBA Weekly Mortgage Application Survey is a comprehensive overview of the nationwide mortgage market and covers all types of mortgage originators, including commercial banks, thrift institutions and mortgage banking companies. The entire market is represented by the Market Index which covers all mortgage applications during the week. This includes all conventional and government applications, all fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs), all adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), whether for a purchase or to refinance.

MBA Mortgage Applications

In the US, the MBA Weekly Mortgage Application Survey is a comprehensive overview of the nationwide mortgage market and covers all types of mortgage originators, including commercial banks, thrift institutions and mortgage banking companies. The entire market is represented by the Market Index which covers all mortgage applications during the week, whether for a purchase or to refinance. The survey covers over 75% of all US retail residential mortgage applications.

MBA Mortgage Refinance Index

The MBA Weekly Mortgage Application Survey is a comprehensive overview of the nationwide mortgage market and covers all types of mortgage originators, including commercial banks, thrift institutions and mortgage banking companies. The entire market is represented by the Market Index which covers all mortgage applications during the week. This includes all conventional and government applications, all fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs), all adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), whether for a purchase or to refinance.

Foreign Direct Investment

11290000000

In Brazil, Foreign Direct Investment refers to net inflows of foreign direct investments received from abroad, including equity capital and intercompany loans.

Current Account

-5100000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

M3 Money Supply YoY

India Money Supply M3 includes M2 plus long-term time deposits in banks.

CBI Distributive Trades

-10

The Confederation of British Industry's (CBI) monthly retail sales balance is a gauge of retail sales versus a year ago. The reading is compiled from a survey of about 150 retail and wholesale companies. It includes measures of sales activity across the distributive trades. It is a leading indicator of consumer spending. The figure is the difference between the percentage of retailers reporting an increase in sales and those reporting a decrease.

Balance of Trade

-940000000

Luxembourg is an export-intensive economy. The country has traditionally imported most of its consumer goods and exported industrial products (steel). Exports now also include chemical and rubber products, finished glass and the most profitable financial services. The nation remains dependent on energy imports. European Union is by far its largest trading partner, accounting for about 84% of exports and 87% of imports.

10-Year Bund Auction

3.37%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

BTP€i Auction

2-Year BTP Short Term Auction

SGB Auction

NGB Auction

26-Week Bill Auction

Economic Sentiment Index

-15.3

In Switzerland, the CS-CFA Society Economic Sentiment Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the expected economic developments over the next 6 months. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the development of the economy. Therefore, the indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts expect the economy to deteriorate) up to 100 (all analysts expect it to improve). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

Unemployment Rate

5.8%

In Poland, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Consumer Confidence

80

In France, the consumer confidence index is based on a survey of about 2 000 households. The questionnaire focuses on: past and future economic situation in France, past and future personal financial situation, unemployment, intention to make major purchases, current savings capacity and expected savings capacity. The indicator is calculated using factor analysis technique. The index is then calculated in a way to measure the current sentiment in relation to the historic index values of the period 1987-2011. A value over 110 indicates unusually high optimism and a value under 90 indicates unusually high pessimism. The value 100 indicates neutrality.

PPI MoM

3.4%

In Sweden, the Producer Price Inflation MoM measures a month-over-month change in the price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market.

PPI YoY

11.2%

Producer prices change refers to year over year change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

Unemployment Rate

5%

In Norway, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Final

1%

The German economy - the fifth largest economy in the world and Europe's largest - is a leading exporter of machinery, vehicles, chemicals, and household equipment and benefits from a highly skilled labor force. Composition of the GDP on the expenditure side: household consumption (55 percent), gross capital formation (20 percent, of which 10 percent in construction, 6 percent in machinery and equipment and 4 percent in other products) and government expenditure (19 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 46 percent of GDP while imports account for 39 percent, adding 7 percent to total GDP.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final

0.3%

Germany is the fifth largest economy in the world and the largest within the Euro Area. Germany is the second largest exporter in the world and exports account for more than one-third of national output. As such, the export of high added value products has been the main driver of growth in recent years. Composition of the GDP on the expenditure side: household consumption (55 percent), gross capital formation (20 percent, of which 10 percent in construction, 6 percent in machinery and equipment and 4 percent in other products) and government expenditure (19 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 46 percent of GDP while imports for 39 percent, adding 7 percent to total GDP.

40-Year JGB Auction

4.125%

RBA Weighted Median CPI YoY

3.4%

In Australia, the weighted median CPI is the inflation rate of the expenditure class at the 50th percentile of price changes in the CPI basket, based on their weight. It represents the midpoint of the distribution of price changes, where half of the basket’s weight experiences price changes at or below this level, and half experiences price changes at or above it.

RBA Weighted Median CPI MoM

0.2%

In Australia, the weighted median CPI is the inflation rate of the expenditure class at the 50th percentile of price changes in the CPI basket, based on their weight. It represents the midpoint of the distribution of price changes, where half of the basket’s weight experiences price changes at or below this level, and half experiences price changes at or above it.

CPI

104.34

In Australia, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services.

RBA Trimmed Mean CPI YoY

3.6%

In Australia, the trimmed mean CPI is the weighted average of the central 70% of price changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) basket, after excluding the 15% of items with the largest increases and decreases. By removing extreme price movements, this measure provides a clearer view of underlying inflation trends in the Australian economy.

RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM

0.3%

In Australia, the trimmed mean CPI is the weighted average of the central 70% of price changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) basket, after excluding the 15% of items with the largest increases and decreases. By removing extreme price movements, this measure provides a clearer view of underlying inflation trends in the Australian economy.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.8%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Construction Work Done QoQ

-2.1%

In Australia, construction output refers to the quarter-over-quarter change in the value of construction work done, including building and engineering for both the private and public sectors.

Inflation Rate YoY

4.3%

In Australia, the most important categories in the consumer price index are housing (23 percent of the total weight), food and non–alcoholic beverages (17 percent), transport (11 percent), furnishings, household equipment and services (9 percent), alcohol and tobacco (9 percent), recreation and culture (9 percent), health (7 percent) and insurance and financial services (6 percent). Clothing and footwear, education and communication account for remaining 10 percent of total weight.

Current Account

37080000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

GDP Growth Rate YoY Final

6.2%

In Singapore, services are the biggest sector of the economy and account for 72 percent of GDP. Within services the most important segments are: wholesale and retail trade (18 percent of total GDP); business services (16 percent); finance and insurance (13 percent), transport and storage (10 percent) and information and communications (5 percent). Industry contributes the remaining 28 percent total output. Manufacturing (21 percent) and construction (5 percent) are the most important industry segments.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final

1.5%

Since gaining independence in 1963, Singaporean economy has been growing rapidly and as a result the country has now one of the highest GDP per capita in the world. The economy depends heavily on foreign trade; both from port activities and from exports of electronic components and refined oil. The country is a leading foreign direct investment recipient due to its status of one of the freest, most competitive and most business-friendly economies in the world. Singapore is also an important financial center.