EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

Stocks of crude oil refer to the weekly change of the crude oil supply situation.

EIA Gasoline Stocks Change

Stocks of gasoline refers to the weekly change of the gasoline supply situation.

EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change

Crude Runs refer to the volume of crude oil consumed by refineries.

EIA Gasoline Production Change

EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change

EIA Distillate Stocks Change

EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change

EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change

Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in storage at the Cushing, Oklahoma during the past week.

EIA Crude Oil Imports Change

Federal Tax Revenues

Government Revenues refer to all receipts the government gets, including taxes, custom duties, revenue from state-owned enterprises, capital revenues and foreign aid. Government Revenues are part of government budget balance calculation.

ECB President Lagarde Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

BoE Gov Bailey Speech

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

Fed Chair Powell Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

GDP Price Index QoQ Final

7.1%

The GDP Deflator measures the change in prices of final goods and services and it is considered as a key indicator for inflationary pressures, that provides insight into the future direction of monetary policy.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final

6.9%

On the expenditure side, personal consumption expenditures accounts for 68 percent of total GDP out of which purchases of goods constitute 23 percent and services 45 percent. Private investment accounts for 16 percent of GDP and government consumption and investment for 18 percent. As the value of goods exported (13.5 percent) is lower than the value of goods imported (16.5 percent), net exports subtracts 3 percent from the total GDP value.

Core PCE Prices QoQ Final

5%

PCE Prices QoQ Final

6.4%

The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Prices measure the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item.

Corporate Profits QoQ Final

0.2%

Corporate profits represents the portion of the total income earned from current production that is accounted for by U.S. corporations. It is one of the most closely watched U.S. economic indicators, as it provides a summary measure of corporate financial health and thus serves as an essential indicator of economic performance.

GDP Sales QoQ Final

1.5%

In the United States, final sales of domestic product equals GDP less change in private inventories. It is also equal to the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private fixed investment, government consumption expenditures and gross investment, and net exports of goods and services.

Real Consumer Spending QoQ Final

2.5%

In the United States, personal consumption expenditure (PCE) is the primary measure of consumer spending in the U.S. economy. It is the National Income and Product Account (NIPA) final-demand component that measures the value of the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, persons who reside in the United States.

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

7.9%

In Germany, the most important categories in the consumer price index are Housing, water, electricity, gas & other fuels (32 percent of the total weight), Transport (13 percent), Recreation, entertainment & culture (11 percent) and Food & non-alcoholic beverages (10 percent). The index also includes Miscellaneous goods & services (7 percent), Furniture, lighting equipment, appliances & other household equipment (5 percent), Restaurant & accommodation services (5 percent), Health (5 percent) and Clothing & footwear (5 percent). The remaining 7 percent of the index is composed by Alcoholic beverages & tobacco, Communication and Education.

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

0.9%

In Germany, the most important categories in the consumer price index are Housing, water, electricity, gas & other fuels (32 percent of the total weight), Transport (13 percent), Recreation, entertainment & culture (11 percent) and Food & non-alcoholic beverages (10 percent). The index also includes Miscellaneous goods & services (7 percent), Furniture, lighting equipment, appliances & other household equipment (5 percent), Restaurant & accommodation services (5 percent), Health (5 percent) and Clothing & footwear (5 percent). The remaining 7 percent of the index is composed by Alcoholic beverages & tobacco, Communication and Education.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel

8.7%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel

1.1%

M3 Money Supply YoY

India Money Supply M3 includes M2 plus long-term time deposits in banks.

CFIB Business Barometer

61.6

CFIB’s Business Barometer tracks small business confidence, expectations and operating conditions in Canada. It was revised as of the May 2009 issue. It is based on the same survey question on 12-month future business performance expectations collected annually 1987-2000, quarterly 2001-2008 and monthly since late 2008. The index is a weighted average of response scores: 100 for stronger performance, 50 for same performance, and 0 for weaker performance. The data are not seasonally adjusted.

Business Confidence

1.5

In Spain, the Industrial Confidence Indicator (ICI) measures the level of optimism of entrepreneurs for the future development of industrial activity. The ICI is conducted based on the sample of 2500 enterprises representing different sizes, regions and sectors of Spanish economy. The response rate is around 60 percent. ICI is measured on a scale of -100 (extreme lack of confidence) to +100 (extreme confidence).

MBA Mortgage Applications

In the US, the MBA Weekly Mortgage Application Survey is a comprehensive overview of the nationwide mortgage market and covers all types of mortgage originators, including commercial banks, thrift institutions and mortgage banking companies. The entire market is represented by the Market Index which covers all mortgage applications during the week, whether for a purchase or to refinance. The survey covers over 75% of all US retail residential mortgage applications.

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate is average 30-year fixed mortgage lending rate measured during the reported week and backed by the Mortgage Bankers Association.

MBA Mortgage Refinance Index

The MBA Weekly Mortgage Application Survey is a comprehensive overview of the nationwide mortgage market and covers all types of mortgage originators, including commercial banks, thrift institutions and mortgage banking companies. The entire market is represented by the Market Index which covers all mortgage applications during the week. This includes all conventional and government applications, all fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs), all adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), whether for a purchase or to refinance.

MBA Mortgage Market Index

The MBA Weekly Mortgage Application Survey is a comprehensive overview of the nationwide mortgage market and covers all types of mortgage originators, including commercial banks, thrift institutions and mortgage banking companies. The entire market is represented by the Market Index which covers all mortgage applications during the week. This includes all conventional and government applications, all fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs), all adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), whether for a purchase or to refinance.

MBA Purchase Index

Fed Mester Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

ECB Schnabel Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

Retail Sales YoY

4.6%

In Portugal, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Retail Sales MoM

-3%

In Portugal, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Portugal, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.77%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY

8.97%

In Belgium, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (17.6 percent of total weight). Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages accounts for 16.4 percent; Transport for 15.9 percent; Recreation and Culture for 9.3 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9 percent and Restaurants and Hotels for 7.8 percent. Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance; Clothing and Footwear; Communication; Health; Alcoholic beverages and Tobacco and Education account for the remaining 24 percent of total weight.

Industrial Production YoY

6.9%

In Cyprus, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 72 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: food products (32 percent of total production); other non-metallic mineral products (7 percent); basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations (6 percent); and fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (5 percent). Mining and quarrying, and electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 20 percent of total output; and water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities account for the remaining 8 percent.

Wage Growth YoY

3.6%

In Cyprus, Wage Growth measures the year-on-year change in average monthly earnings of employees.

Business Confidence

In Austria, the Business Climate Indicator measures the current situation of the businesses and its future prospects. The questionnaire focuses on: production trends in recent months, order books, export order books, stocks and production expectations. The indicator is computed through the estimation of a factor-model and summarizes the common information contained in the surveys. A rise in the indicator will point to an upswing in activity and an improvement in the business climate.

Consumer Confidence

In Austria, the consumer confidence indicator is calculated as the arithmetic average of the balances (in percentage points) of responses on the general economic situation, the financial situation of households and their expectations concerning unemployment (with inverted sign) and savings, each for the next 12 months. Balances are seasonally adjusted.

Business Confidence

99.1

In Cyprus, the Business Climate Indicator measures the current situation of the businesses and its future prospects. The questionnaire focuses on: production trends in recent months, order books, export order books, stocks and production expectations. The indicator is computed through the estimation of a factor-model and summarizes the common information contained in the surveys. A rise in the indicator will point to an upswing in activity and an improvement in the business climate.

Consumer Confidence

-35.4

In Cyprus, the Consumer Economic Sentiment Indicator measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the economy. The questions focus on current economic and financial situation, savings intention as well as on expected developments regarding: consumer price indexes, general economic situation and major purchases of durable goods. The Consumer ESI measures consumer confidence on a scale of -100 to 100, where -100 indicate extreme lack of confidence, 0 neutrality and 100 extreme confidence.

Economic Sentiment

105

In the Euro Area, the Economic sentiment indicator is a composite measure (average=100) that calculates the confidence level among: manufacturers (40 percent of the index); service providers (30 percent); consumers (20 percent); retailers (5 percent) and constructors (5 percent).

Consumer Confidence Final

-21.1

In Euro Area, the Consumer Economic Sentiment Indicator measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the economy. The survey is made by phone and covers 23 000 households in the Euro Area. The number of households sample varies across the zone. The questions focus on current economic and financial situation, savings intention as well as on expected developments regarding: consumer price indexes, general economic situation and major purchases of durable goods. The Consumer ESI measures consumer confidence on a scale of -100 to 100, where -100 indicate extreme lack of confidence, 0 neutrality and 100 extreme confidence.

Services Sentiment

14

In the Euro Area, Services Sentiment measures the confidence level among service providers and accounts for 30 percent of the Economic Sentiment Indicator.

Industrial Sentiment

6.3

In the Euro Area, Industrial Sentiment measures the confidence level among manufacturers and accounts for 40 percent of the Economic Sentiment Indicator.

Consumer Inflation Expectations

45.6

In the Euro Area, Consumer Confidence Price Trends is shown as the balance between positive and negative answering options, measured as percentage points of total answers.

Selling Price Expectations

56.1

Business Confidence

Industrial Confidence Indicator is a survey measuring the confidence among executives in the manufacturing sector.

Consumer Confidence

In Greece, the Consumer Economic Sentiment Indicator measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the economy. The survey is made by phone and covers 1,500 households in Greece. The questions focus on current economic and financial situation, savings intention as well as on expected developments regarding: consumer price indexes, general economic situation and major purchases of durable goods. The Consumer ESI measures consumer confidence on a scale of -100 to 100, where -100 indicate extreme lack of confidence, 0 neutrality and 100 extreme confidence.

Business Confidence

108

In Greece, the Business Climate Indicator measures the current situation of the businesses and its future prospects. The survey is made by phone and covers 410 companies including sole proprietorships. The questionnaire focuses on: production trends in recent months, order books, export order books, stocks and production expectations. The indicator is computed through the estimation of a factor-model and summarizes the common information contained in the surveys. A rise in the indicator will point to an upswing in activity and an improvement in the business climate.

Consumer Confidence

-20.5

In Luxembourg, the consumer confidence survey measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the performance of the economy. Generally consumer confidence is high when the unemployment rate is low and GDP growth is high. Measures of average consumer confidence can be useful indicators of how much consumers are likely to spend.

Business Confidence

98.2

In Luxembourg, the Business Climate Indicator measures the current situation of the businesses and its future prospects. The questionnaire focuses on: production trends in recent months, order books, export order books, stocks and production expectations. The indicator is computed through the estimation of a factor-model and summarizes the common information contained in the surveys. A rise in the indicator will point to an upswing in activity and an improvement in the business climate.

Business Confidence

0.1

Industrial Confidence Indicator is a survey measuring the confidence among executives in the manufacturing sector.

Consumer Confidence

-30.1

In Portugal, the consumer confidence index on three terms moving averages is based on interviews with consumers about their perceptions of the country's current and future economic situation and their tendencies to purchase. It is estimated using the difference between the share of positive evaluation responses and negative evaluation responses, but do not include the share of neutral responses. The use of moving averages smooths out the series by removing the irregular movements, allowing the detection of the short-term trends.

Business Confidence

2

In Portugal, the National Statistics Institute (INE) economic climate indicator on three terms moving averages is calculated in order to receive a timely composite indicator for the several sectors of economic activity. It is estimated using balances of questions from the Manufacturing Industry (1179 companies), Trade (1102 companies), Construction and Public Works (822 companies) and Services (1427 companies) surveys. The calculation is based on the factor analysis and the estimated series (the common component) is calibrated using the GDP change rates. The use of moving averages smooths out the series by removing the irregular movements, allowing the detection of the short-term trends.

Economic Sentiment Index

-52.6

In Switzerland, the CS-CFA Society Economic Sentiment Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the expected economic developments over the next 6 months. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the development of the economy. Therefore, the ZEW indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts expect the economy to deteriorate) up to 100 (all analysts expect it to improve). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

Loans to Companies YoY

5.2%

In the Euro Area, Loans to Private Sector refers to adjusted loans to Euro Area non-financial corporations.

Loans to Households YoY

4.5%

In the Euro Area, loan growth refers to year over year change in loans to households adjusted for sales and securitisation.

M3 Money Supply YoY

6%

Euro Area Money Supply M3 is the sum of M2, repurchase agreements, money market fund shares/units and debt securities with a maturity of up to two years.

ECB Guindos Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

In Spain, the most important categories in the consumer price index are food and non-alcoholic beverages (20 percent of the total weight), transport (15 percent), housing and utilities (13 percent) and hotels, cafés and restaurants (12 percent). The index also includes: Recreation and culture (9 percent); miscellaneous goods and services (7 percent); and clothing and footwear (7 percent). Furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house; health; communications; alcoholic beverages and tobacco; and education account for the remaining 18 percent of total weight.

Retail Sales YoY

1.5%

In Spain, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Retail Sales MoM

5.3%

In Spain, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Spain, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Consumer Inflation Expectations

9.9%

In Sweden, inflation expectations refer to median one year ahead expected inflation rate.

Business Confidence

115.1

In Sweden, the confidence indicator for the business sector is intended to provide a quick qualitative indication of actual outcomes, current situation and future expectations of Swedish companies. The variables in the survey include new orders, output, and employment. The survey covers 6,000 firms in the business sector.

Consumer Confidence

70.4

In Sweden, the Consumer Confidence indicator is based on a survey of 1500 households that are interviewed each month. The questions cover consumers’ assessment of their personal finances and the Swedish economy, expectations for interest rates and inflation, and plans for major purchases and savings.

Economic Confidence Index

96.7

In Turkey, economic confidence index is a composite index that encapsulates consumers’ and producers’ evaluations, expectations and tendencies about general economic situation. The index is combined by means of a weighted aggregation of normalized sub-indices of consumer confidence, seasonally adjusted real sector (manufacturing industry), services, retail trade and construction confidence indices. The economic confidence index indicates an optimistic outlook about the general economic situation when the index is above 100, on contrary it indicates a pessimistic outlook when it is below 100.

Consumer Confidence

86

In France, the consumer confidence index is based on a survey of about 2 000 households. The questionnaire focuses on: past and future economic situation in France, past and future personal financial situation, unemployment, intention to make major purchases, current savings capacity and expected savings capacity. The indicator is calculated using factor analysis technique. The index is then calculated in a way to measure the current sentiment in relation to the historic index values of the period 1987-2011. A value over 110 indicates unusually high optimism and a value under 90 indicates unusually high pessimism. The value 100 indicates neutrality.

Business Confidence

-3

In Denmark, the tendency survey in manufacturing provides information on the current situation as well as expectations for the coming three months for the manufacturing industries. The most important variables used in the survey are production, employment, new orders, sales prices, investment plans and limits to production.

Household Lending Growth YoY

6.8%

In Sweden, Household Lending Growth refers to the year-on-year change in credit extended to households by domestic MFIs.

Consumer Confidence

34.1

In Japan, the Monthly Consumer Confidence survey data is collected by direct visit and covers about 4,700 households consisting of more than two persons. The questionnaire covers four subjects: consumer perceptions of overall livelihood, income growth, employment and willingness to buy durable goods. For each subject an index based on the respondents’ evaluation of what they consider the prospects to be over the next six months is created. The Consumer Confidence Index is the simple average of the four consumer perception indexes. A score above 50 indicates optimism, below 50 shows lack of confidence and 50 indicates neutrality.

PPI YoY

29.5%

In Singapore, producer prices refer to year over year change in domestic supply price index. The index is designed to measure the changes in the price level of goods manufactured locally or imported which are retained for a use in the domestic economy.

Import Prices YoY

24.7%

In Singapore, Import Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services purchased by residents of that country from, and supplied by, foreign sellers. Import Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Export Prices YoY

26.3%

In Singapore, Export Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services sold by residents of that country to foreign buyers. Export Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Business Confidence

9.9

In Netherlands, the producer confidence survey covers 1,700 manufacturing companies and gathers up-to-date information on economic developments for all activities of the manufacturing industry. The survey covers three components: how companies evaluate their order positions, their stocks of finished products in the month under review and the anticipated economic activity for the next three months. The index is calculated as the percentage of positive answers minus the percentage of negative answers. Therefore, the indicator varies from -100 (all participants evaluate their situation as poor and expect it to become worse) to 100 (all companies are happy with current situation and expect it to improve); 0 indicates neutrality.

Retail Sales MoM Prel

0.9%

In Australia, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Australia, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

ECB Forum on Central Banking

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

NATO Summit

Retail Sales YoY

2.9%

In Japan, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Retail Sales MoM

In Japan, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Japan, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Consumer Confidence

102.6

In South Korea, the Composite Consumer Sentiment Index (CCSI) measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the performance of the economy. The index is based on a survey of around 2200 households. The CCSI is computed as a sum of six variables, including current living standards, prospective household income and prospective spending. A CCSI above 100 indicates an improving outlook and below 100 a deteriorating outlook.

API Crude Oil Stock Change

Stocks of crude oil refer to the weekly change of the crude oil supply situation.

7-Year Note Auction

2.777%

Fed Daily Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.