GfK Consumer Confidence

-14

In the United Kingdom, the consumer confidence survey measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the performance of the economy in the next 12 months. The GfK Consumer Confidence is derived from the survey of about 2,000 consumers which are ask to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions including personal financial situation, climate for major purchases, overall economic situation and savings level.

Fed Balance Sheet

The Central Bank Balance Sheet represents the total assets held by a central bank. It reflects the scale of monetary policy actions, including holdings like government securities, foreign reserves, and loans to banks. Changes in the balance sheet indicate shifts in policy, such as easing or tightening financial conditions.

Interest Rate Decision

6.5%

In Mexico, interest rate decisions are taken by the Bank of Mexico (Banco de México). Starting January of 2008, Banco de México has adopted as an operating target the overnight interbank rate (tasa de fondeo bancario) instead of the level of commercial banks’ current account balances at the central bank (corto).

7-Year Note Auction

30-Year Mortgage Rate

The Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20 percent down and have excellent credit. Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. The interest rate a lender would charge to lend mortgage money to a qualified borrower exclusive of the fees and points required by the lender. This commitment rate applies only to conventional financing on conforming mortgages with loan-to-value rates of 80 percent or less.

15-Year Mortgage Rate

2-Year Bond Auction

4-Week Bill Auction

8-Week Bill Auction

Kansas Fed Composite Index

10

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Manufacturers provides information on current manufacturing activity in the Tenth District (Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, northern New Mexico, and western Missouri). The monthly survey consists of approximately 150 manufacturing plants across the district of which about 110 respond. Survey results reveal changes in several indicators of manufacturing activity including production, shipments, new orders, and employment along with changes in prices of raw materials and finished products. The diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the percentage of total reporting increases and the percentage reporting decreases.

Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index

17

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Manufacturers provides information on current manufacturing activity in the Tenth District (Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, northern New Mexico, and western Missouri). The monthly survey consists of approximately 150 manufacturing plants across the district of which about 110 respond. Survey results reveal changes in several indicators of manufacturing activity including production, shipments, new orders, and employment along with changes in prices of raw materials and finished products. The diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the percentage of total reporting increases and the percentage reporting decreases.

EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

Natural Gas Stocks Change refers to the weekly change of the natural gas supply situation.

Fed Paulson Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

New Home Sales MoM

-10.5%

A sale of the new house occurs with the signing of a sales contract or the acceptance of a deposit. The house can be in any stage of construction: not yet started, under construction, or already completed. New home sales account for about 10 percent of the US housing market. New single-family home sales are extremely volatile month-to-month and preliminary figures are subject to large revisions because they are mostly drawn from building permits data.

New Home Sales

607000

A sale of the new house occurs with the signing of a sales contract or the acceptance of a deposit. The house can be in any stage of construction: not yet started, under construction, or already completed. New home sales account for about 10 percent of the US housing market. New single-family home sales are extremely volatile month-to-month and preliminary figures are subject to large revisions because they are mostly drawn from building permits data.

Business Confidence

-13.2

In Belgium, the business confidence survey measures the level of optimism that people who run companies have about the current economic situation and how they feel about their organizations’ prospects in the next three months. Every month, a panel of around 6000 business leaders is contacted.

Fed Hammack Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Continuing Jobless Claims

Continuing Jobless Claims refer to actual number of unemployed and currently receiving unemployment benefits who filed for unemployment benefits at least two weeks ago.

Jobless Claims 4-week Average

Current Account

-226800000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Initial Jobless Claims

Initial jobless claims refer to the number of people who have filed for unemployment benefits with their state's unemployment agency for the first time during a specific reporting period, typically on a weekly basis. .

Retail Sales YoY

5.2%

In Canada, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Manufacturing Sales MoM Prel

In Canada, Manufacturing Sales provides a current 'snapshot' of sales of goods manufactured values by the Canadian manufacturing sector, enabling analysis of the state of the Canadian economy, as well as the health of specific industries in the short- to medium-term.

Average Weekly Earnings YoY

3.4%

In Canada, average weekly earnings (including overtime) refers to the gross taxable payroll (including overtime) divided by the number of employees. It is calculated for all types of employees. In general, changes in weekly earnings reflect a number of factors, including wage growth; changes in the composition of employment by industry, occupation and level of job experience; and average hours worked per week.

Retail Sales MoM Final

0.6%

In Canada, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Canada, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM

0.5%

Retail Sales Ex Autos report in Canada provides aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services excluding the automobile sector over a period of a month.

Retail Sales MoM Prel

-0.8%

In Canada, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Canada, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Economic Activity MoM

-0.1%

In Mexico, the overall index of economic activity measures the evolution of the real sector of the economy, in the short term, providing valuable information for decision-making.

Economic Activity YoY

2.8%

In Mexico, the overall index of economic activity measures the evolution of the real sector of the economy, in the short term, providing valuable information for decision-making.

Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM

0.1%

Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY

3.26%

BCB National Monetary Council Meeting

In Brazil, interest rate decisions are taken by The Central Bank of Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM). The official interest rate is the Special System of Clearance and Custody rate (SELIC) which is the overnight lending rate.

Mid-month Core Inflation Rate MoM

0.08%

Mid-month Core Inflation Rate YoY

Building Permits Final

1433000

Building Permits refer to the approvals given by a local jurisdictions before the construction of a new or existing building can legally occur. Not all areas of the United States require a permit for construction.

Building Permits MoM Final

4.3%

Building Permits refer to the approvals given by a local jurisdictions before the construction of a new or existing building can legally occur. Not all areas of the United States require a permit for construction.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

In Turkey, Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to gross foreign exchange reserves held or controlled by the country's central bank, excluding gold.

FGV Consumer Confidence

84.7

IBRE/FGV's monthly Consumer Confidence Survey is designed to capture the sentiment of consumers about the general state of economy and their personal finances. Happy and optimistic consumers are likely to spend more; unhappy and pessimistic consumers spend less. Consumer confidence can thus operate to induce or reduce economic growth. Monitoring consumer sentiment can produce signals about future spending and saving that are useful for anticipating what will happen to the economy in the short run. The IBRE/FGV studies obtain, among other information, consumer assessments and forecasts about the local and family economic situation at the time and for the following months, employment prospects, and intentions and likelihood of buying high-value goods in the next six months. The Consumer Confidence Survey was started in 2002, and data are collected from over 2,000 informants in seven major state capitals: Belo Horizonte, Brasilia, Porto Alegre, Recife, Salvador, Rio de Janeiro, and São Paulo.

RFGB ORI Auction

CBI Distributive Trades

-48

The Confederation of British Industry's (CBI) monthly retail sales balance is a gauge of retail sales versus a year ago. The reading is compiled from a survey of about 150 retail and wholesale companies. It includes measures of sales activity across the distributive trades. It is a leading indicator of consumer spending. The figure is the difference between the percentage of retailers reporting an increase in sales and those reporting a decrease.

20-Year Bond Auction

7.46%

12-Month DTB Auction

5.07%

2-Year BTP Short Term Auction

3.02%

BTP€i Auction

Riksbank Press Conference

In Sweden, benchmark interest rate is set by the Executive Board of the Central Bank of Sweden (The Riksbank). The main interest rate is the repo rate which is the rate of interest at which banks can borrow or deposit funds at the Riksbank for a period of seven days. The Riksbank's target is to hold inflation in terms of the CPIF (the CPI with a fixed interest rate) around 2 percent a year.

Imports YoY

41%

Hong Kong imports mainly machinery and transport equipment (66 percent of total imports); miscellaneous manufactured articles (14 percent); manufactured goods (9 percent) and food and live animals (4 percent). Main import partners are: China (47 percent), Taiwan (8 percent) and Singapore (7 percent). Others include: Japan, South Korea and the United States.

Exports YoY

50.7%

Hong Kong has an export oriented economy with 99 percent of shipments coming from re-exports. Major exports are electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances which accounts for 36 percent of total shipments. Other exports include: telecommunications and sound equipment (20 percent); office and automatic data processing machines (10 percent); miscellaneous manufactured articles (5 percent) and non-metallic mineral manufactures (5 percent). Main export partners are China (40 percent), the United States (8 percent), Vietnam (6 percent), Singapore (5 percent), Taiwan and Macau.

Balance of Trade

-4900000000

Since the late 1990’s Hong Kong has been recording trade deficits, as imports grew at a faster pace than exports. Hong Kong major exports are electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances; telecommunications and sound equipment and automatic data processing machines. The country imports mainly machinery and transport equipment; miscellaneous manufactured articles; manufactured goods and food and live animals. Main trading partner is China (40 percent of total exports and 47 percent of total imports). Others include: Japan, Singapore, Taiwan and the United States.

Ifo Business Climate

88.8

In Germany, the IFO Business Climate Index measures entrepreneurs’ sentiment about current business situation and their expectations for the next 6 months. The survey is made by phone and covers 9,000 firms in manufacturing, the service sector, trade and construction. The Business Climate Balance is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of executives that are optimistic and the share that are pessimistic. This balance can take values between -100 (all responding firms assess their situation as poor and expect business to deteriorate) and +100 (all responding firms assessed their situation as good and expect an improvement in their business). For the calculation of the IFO Business Climate Index, the Balance is normalized to the average of a base year (currently 2015).

Norges Bank Monetary Policy Report

4.25%

In Norway, benchmark interest rate is set by the Central Bank of Norway (Norges Bank). The official interest rate is the key policy rate, also known as sight deposit rate.

Ifo Expectations

89.1

Expectations With Regard to Business Developments in the Next 6 Months.

Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision

4.25%

In Norway, benchmark interest rate is set by the Central Bank of Norway (Norges Bank). The official interest rate is the key policy rate, also known as sight deposit rate.

Ifo Current Conditions

88.5

Assessment of the Business Situation.

Riksbank Rate Decision

1.75%

In Sweden, benchmark interest rate is set by the Executive Board of the Central Bank of Sweden (The Riksbank). The main interest rate is the repo rate which is the rate of interest at which banks can borrow or deposit funds at the Riksbank for a period of seven days. The Riksbank's target is to hold inflation in terms of the CPIF (the CPI with a fixed interest rate) around 2 percent a year.

Business Confidence

-5.1

In Poland, business tendency survey in manufacturing is based on a survey of 3500 companies producing consumer, investment and supply goods. The business tendency questionnaires contain questions related to the basic features of the economic situation in industry: general economic situation of the company, order-books, production, stocks, financial situation, employment, prices, production capacity, capacity utilization, duration of assured production, limits to activity, competitive position. On the basis of gathered replies indicators are calculated. These indicators are weighted by the value of sold production of manufacturing in current prices and their range varies from -100 to +100. Positive value means good business situation, negative – bad one. Increase (decrease) of indicator means improving (worsening) of the business situation from the enterprises point of view.

SNB Interest Rate Decision

0%

In Switzerland, interest rate decisions are taken by the Swiss National Bank. The official interest rate is the SNB policy rate. The SNB seeks to keep the secured short-term Swiss franc money market rates close to the SNB policy rate. SARON is the most representative of these rates today. As of 13 June 2019, the SNB policy rate replaced the target range for the three-month Swiss franc Libor (London Interbank Offered Rate) previously used in the SNB's monetary policy strategy. The reason for this adjustment was that the Libor was becoming less relevant as the most important reference rate owing to the absence of the underlying money market transactions. From 6 September 2011 to 15 January 2015, the main focus of implementation was on the minimum exchange rate of CHF 1.20 per euro, which the SNB enforced during this period. On 18 December 2014, the SNB decided to impose an interest rate of -0.25% on sight deposit account balances. With the announcement of a negative interest rate, the Libor target range used then was taken into negative territory for the first time, and extended to its usual width of 1 percentage point. On 15 January 2015, the SNB lowered the interest rate on sight deposits to -0.75% and moved the target range downwards to between -1.25% and -0.25%. Negative interest has applied since 22 January 2015 and currently corresponds to the SNB policy rate.

Consumer Confidence

102.3

In Czech Republic, the Czech Statistical Office consumer confidence indicator is the average of four indicators: expected financial situation of consumers, expected total economic situation, expected total unemployment (with inverted sign) and savings expected in 12 months to come. Generally consumer confidence is high when the unemployment rate is low and GDP growth is high. Measures of average consumer confidence can be useful indicators of how much consumers are likely to spend.

Business Confidence

100.2

In Czech Republic, the business confidence survey measures the level of optimism that people who run companies have about the performance of the economy and how they feel about their organizations’ prospects. Czech Statistical Office business confidence indicator is a weighted average of seasonally adjusted confidence indicators in industry, construction, trade and in selected services.

PPI YoY

9.2%

Producer prices change refers to year over year change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

Business Climate Indicator

98

In France, the Business Climate Composite Indicator summarizes the information provided by the surveys in manufacturing, services, trade (retail and wholesale), and construction. The business climate is built from 26 balances of opinion from these surveys.

Consumer Confidence

86

In France, the consumer confidence index is based on a survey of about 2 000 households. The questionnaire focuses on: past and future economic situation in France, past and future personal financial situation, unemployment, intention to make major purchases, current savings capacity and expected savings capacity. The indicator is calculated using factor analysis technique. The index is then calculated in a way to measure the current sentiment in relation to the historic index values of the period 1987-2011. A value over 110 indicates unusually high optimism and a value under 90 indicates unusually high pessimism. The value 100 indicates neutrality.

Business Confidence

103

In France, Business Climate measures industrial entrepreneurs’ sentiment about current business situation and expectation about business conditions. The survey sample comprises about 4,000 enterprises in the manufacturing and mining industries. The indicator is calculated using factor analysis technique. The index is then calculated in a way to measure the current sentiment in relation to the historic index values of the period 1993-2011. A value over 110 indicates unusually high optimism and a value under 90 indicates unusually high pessimism. The value 100 indicates neutrality.

Loan Growth YoY

4.3%

Loan growth in Norway refers to an annual change in the general public’s gross domestic debt.

6-Month T-Bill Auction

Import Prices YoY

7.3%

In Finland, Import Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services purchased by residents of that country from, and supplied by, foreign sellers. Import Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Export Prices YoY

8.5%

In Finland, Export Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services sold by residents of that country to foreign buyers. Export Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

PPI YoY

6.9%

In Finland, producer price index for manufactured products measures development in the producer prices of goods manufactured in the country. The index includes both goods sold at home and exported goods. The price for domestic goods is the factory price exclusive of taxes and the price for export goods is the f.o.b. price. The index covers commodities of industry categories B to E.

M2 Money Supply YoY

8.3%

Indonesia Money Supply M2 includes M1 plus short-term time deposits in banks.

Labor Participation Rate

66.9%

The labour force participation rates is the number of persons who are employed and unemployed but looking for a job divided by the total working-age population.

Part Time Employment Chg

-32200

In Australia, persons employed part time are those employed persons who usually worked less than 35 hours a week in all jobs.

Employment Change

-15800

In Australia, employment change refers to the absolute change in the number of persons who work for pay or profit, or perform unpaid family work. Estimates include both full-time and part-time employment.

Full Time Employment Chg

16300

In Australia, full time employment change refers to the change in the number of employed persons who usually work 35 hours or more a week (in all jobs) and those who, although usually working fewer than 35 hours a week, work 35 hours or more during the reference week.

Unemployment Rate

4.5%

In Australia, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

S&P Global Composite PMI Flash

53.5

The S&P Global Japan Composite PMI Output Index is a key indicator of overall private sector business activity in Japan. It is calculated as a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index, with weights reflecting the relative size of each sector based on official GDP data. The index draws on survey responses from a representative panel of approximately 800 companies across the manufacturing and services sectors. Although often referred to as the ‘Composite PMI’, this index should not be confused with the headline Manufacturing PMI, as it uniquely captures output trends across both sectors. The Composite Output Index tracks key variables including sales, new orders, employment, inventories, and prices. It is presented as a diffusion index ranging from 0 to 100, where a reading above 50 signals overall growth compared to the previous month, and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.

S&P Global Services PMI Flash

52.5

The S&P Global Japan Services PMI is a monthly indicator of economic activity in Japan’s service sector, based on survey responses from around 400 companies across industries such as transport, finance, communication, real estate, and business services (excluding retail). Respondents report changes relative to the previous month, and results are presented as diffusion indices, ranging from 0 to 100. An index above 50 signals growth, while below 50 indicates contraction. The main metric is the Services Business Activity Index, reflecting changes in business activity volume and serving as the headline figure. While sometimes called the "Services PMI," it is not directly comparable to the headline Manufacturing PMI, but aligns more closely with the Manufacturing Output Index.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash

54.9

The S&P Global Japan Manufacturing PMI is a monthly indicator of manufacturing sector performance, based on survey responses from a panel of approximately 400 manufacturers. Survey participants report changes compared to the previous month across several business variables. Each response is used to calculate a diffusion index ranging from 0 to 100, where a reading above 50 signals expansion, and below 50 indicates contraction. The headline figure, known as the Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI), is a weighted composite of five key components: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%), and Stocks of Purchases (10%). To ensure consistency in directional movement, the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted when incorporated into the overall PMI.

Heritage Day

Mid-Autumn Festival