Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoY

1.9%

In Japan, the "core core" inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes prices of fresh food and energy.

Inflation Rate MoM

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY

1.9%

In Japan, the most important categories in the consumer price index are Food (26 percent of total weight) and Housing (21 percent). Transportation and communications account for 15 percent; Culture and recreation for 9 percent; Fuel, light and water charges for 7 percent; Miscellaneous goods and services for 6 percent; and Medical care for 5 percent. Furniture and household utensils, Clothes and footwear, and Education account for the remaining 10 percent of total weight.

Core Inflation Rate YoY

1.7%

In Japan, the core inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes prices of fresh food.

GfK Consumer Confidence

-13

In the United Kingdom, the consumer confidence survey measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the performance of the economy in the next 12 months. The GfK Consumer Confidence is derived from the survey of about 2,000 consumers which are ask to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions including personal financial situation, climate for major purchases, overall economic situation and savings level.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash

49.6

The S&P Global Australia Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to monthly questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 400 manufacturers. The headline figure is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which is a weighted average of the following five indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%). For the PMI calculation the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction to the other indices. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact economics@spglobal.com for more details.

S&P Global Services PMI Flash

51.9

The S&P Global Australia Services PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to a panel of around 400 service sector companies. The sectors covered include consumer (excluding retail), transport, information, communication, finance, insurance, real estate and business services. The headline figure is the Services Business Activity Index. This is a diffusion index calculated from a question that asks for changes in the volume of business activity compared with one month previously. The Services Business Activity Index is comparable to the Manufacturing Output Index. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact economics@spglobal.com for more details.

S&P Global Composite PMI Flash

51.3

The S&P Global Australia Composite PMI, which is a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index, is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to survey panels of manufacturers and service providers in Australia. The index tracks variables such as sales, new orders, employment, inventories and prices; and varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact economics@spglobal.com for more details.

Reserve Balances with Fed Banks

Central bank reserves in the United States are cash holdings kept physically in a bank's vaults or as digital deposits held in an account at one of the 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks by depository institutions. They ensure banks can meet customer cash withdrawals and short-term liquidity obligations. Since 2020, the Federal Reserve reduced its minimum reserve requirement ratio to 0%, making all reserves eligible to receive interest on reserve balances (IORB).

Fed Balance Sheet

The Central Bank Balance Sheet represents the total assets held by a central bank. It reflects the scale of monetary policy actions, including holdings like government securities, foreign reserves, and loans to banks. Changes in the balance sheet indicate shifts in policy, such as easing or tightening financial conditions.

5-Year TIPS Auction

1.955%

15-Year Mortgage Rate

30-Year Mortgage Rate

The Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20 percent down and have excellent credit. Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. The interest rate a lender would charge to lend mortgage money to a qualified borrower exclusive of the fees and points required by the lender. This commitment rate applies only to conventional financing on conforming mortgages with loan-to-value rates of 80 percent or less.

2-Year Bond Auction

3.321%

4-Week Bill Auction

8-Week Bill Auction

Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index

20

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Manufacturers provides information on current manufacturing activity in the Tenth District (Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, northern New Mexico, and western Missouri). The monthly survey consists of approximately 150 manufacturing plants across the district of which about 110 respond. Survey results reveal changes in several indicators of manufacturing activity including production, shipments, new orders, and employment along with changes in prices of raw materials and finished products. The diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the percentage of total reporting increases and the percentage reporting decreases.

Kansas Fed Composite Index

14

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Manufacturers provides information on current manufacturing activity in the Tenth District (Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, northern New Mexico, and western Missouri). The monthly survey consists of approximately 150 manufacturing plants across the district of which about 110 respond. Survey results reveal changes in several indicators of manufacturing activity including production, shipments, new orders, and employment along with changes in prices of raw materials and finished products. The diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the percentage of total reporting increases and the percentage reporting decreases.

EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

Natural Gas Stocks Change refers to the weekly change of the natural gas supply situation.

CB Leading Index MoM

-0.1%

Consumer Confidence Flash

-16.5

In Euro Area, the Consumer Economic Sentiment Indicator measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the economy. The survey is made by phone and covers 23 000 households in the Euro Area. The number of households sample varies across the zone. The questions focus on current economic and financial situation, savings intention as well as on expected developments regarding: consumer price indexes, general economic situation and major purchases of durable goods. The Consumer ESI measures consumer confidence on a scale of -100 to 100, where -100 indicate extreme lack of confidence, 0 neutrality and 100 extreme confidence.

PPI YoY

13.5%

In Canada, producer prices change measures the average change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

PPI MoM

1.3%

In Canada, the Producer Price Inflation MoM measures a month-over-month change in the price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market.

Raw Materials Prices YoY

22.8%

The raw materials price index (RPMI) reflects the prices paid by Canadian manufacturers for key raw materials. Unlike the industrial product price index, the RMPI includes goods that are not produced in Canada.

Raw Materials Prices MoM

3.1%

The raw materials price index (RPMI) reflects the prices paid by Canadian manufacturers for key raw materials. Unlike the industrial product price index, the RMPI includes goods that are not produced in Canada.

Initial Jobless Claims

Initial jobless claims refer to the number of people who have filed for unemployment benefits with their state's unemployment agency for the first time during a specific reporting period, typically on a weekly basis. .

Jobless Claims 4-week Average

Continuing Jobless Claims

Continuing Jobless Claims refer to actual number of unemployed and currently receiving unemployment benefits who filed for unemployment benefits at least two weeks ago.

Building Permits YoY

4.1%

Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) conducts a monthly building statistics survey collecting information regarding building plans passed and buildings completed, financed by the private sector, from the largest local government institutions in South Africa. According to these institutions, they are not always notified about low-cost housing projects and therefore do not include the bulk of low-cost dwelling-houses. The monthly survey represents approximately 90 percent of the total value of buildings completed. The statistical unit for the collection of information is a local government institution. Local government institutions include district municipalities, metropolitan municipalities and local municipalities.

BCB National Monetary Council Meeting

In Brazil, interest rate decisions are taken by The Central Bank of Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM). The official interest rate is the Special System of Clearance and Custody rate (SELIC) which is the overnight lending rate.

Unemployment Rate

3%

In Mexico, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM

0.33%

Mid-month Core Inflation Rate YoY

3.79%

Mid-month Core Inflation Rate MoM

0.17%

Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY

3.42%

M3 Money Supply YoY

11.3%

Poland Money Supply M3 includes M2 plus long-term time deposits in banks.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

In Turkey, Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to gross foreign exchange reserves held or controlled by the country's central bank, excluding gold.

Overnight Lending Rate

40%

In Turkey, lending rate refers to central bank overnight lending rate.

TCMB Interest Rate Decision

37%

In Turkey, benchmark interest rates are set by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Monetary Policy Committee (Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankasi - TCMB). From June 1st 2018, the main interest rate is the one-week repo rate and the overnight borrowing and lending rates will be determined at 150 bps below/above the one-week repo rate. The central bank simplified its monetary policy framework on May 28th 2018 from a different system with four main key rates, with the late liquidity window lending rate being one of the most followed.

Overnight Borrowing Rate

35.5%

In Turkey, the Overnight Borrowing Rate refers to the rate under which banks lend or deposit money to the Central Bank.

CBI Industrial Trends Orders

-9

In the United Kingdom, the Confederation of British Industry‘s Industrial Trends Survey of total order book balance tracks changes in the level of factory orders from around 500 companies across 38 sectors of manufacturing industry. The survey covers domestic and export orders, stocks, price, investment intentions and output expectations. For each variable, manufacturers are asked if present situation is above normal, normal or below normal. The results are presented as a weighted percentage balance, that is, the difference between the percentage of respondents replying more or up to each question minus the percentage replying less or down.

CBI Business Optimism Index

-36

In the United Kingdom, the Business Optimism Index is published by the Confederation of British Industry's in its Industrial Trends Survey. An average of 400 small, medium and large companies from the manufacturing sector is surveyed each quarter. The Questionnaire accesses the overall sentiment regarding general and export business situation, investment, capacity, order books, employment, output, stocks, prices competitiveness regarding domestic, EU and non-EU markets and innovation and training. For each assessment is computed a sub-index as the percentage of positive answers minus the percentage of negative answers. The composite index is then computed as the weighted average of the sub-indices. An Optimism Index of +100 indicates that all survey respondents are much more confident about future prospects, while -100 suggests that all survey respondents are much less confident about future prospects. An index level of 0 indicates neutrality.

15-Year Bond Auction

12-Month DTB Auction

5.14%

Index-linked Treasury Gilt 2031 Auction

Inflation Rate MoM

0.1%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Unemployment Rate

3.8%

In Hong Kong, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Inflation Rate YoY

1.7%

In Hong Kong, the composite consumer price index is based on a monthly survey conducted throughout the territory. The indicator consists of 980 consumer goods and services classified into 9 major groups. Housing accounts for 40.3 percent of total weight, Food for 27.4 percent and Miscellaneous Services such as education, communications, information and medical care for 13.1 percent. Transport constitutes 6.2 percent of total index; Durable Goods for 4 percent; Miscellaneous Goods for 3.3 percent and Clothing and Footwear for 2.4 percent. Electricity, Gas and Water account for 2.8 percent and Alcoholic Drinks and Tobacco for the remaining 0.5 percent.

Business Confidence

-5.8

In Poland, business tendency survey in manufacturing is based on a survey of 3500 companies producing consumer, investment and supply goods. The business tendency questionnaires contain questions related to the basic features of the economic situation in industry: general economic situation of the company, order-books, production, stocks, financial situation, employment, prices, production capacity, capacity utilization, duration of assured production, limits to activity, competitive position. On the basis of gathered replies indicators are calculated. These indicators are weighted by the value of sold production of manufacturing in current prices and their range varies from -100 to +100. Positive value means good business situation, negative – bad one. Increase (decrease) of indicator means improving (worsening) of the business situation from the enterprises point of view.

Retail Sales YoY

3.8%

In Poland, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

SNB Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

In Switzerland, interest rate decisions are taken by the Swiss National Bank. The official interest rate is the SNB policy rate. The SNB seeks to keep the secured short-term Swiss franc money market rates close to the SNB policy rate. SARON is the most representative of these rates today. As of 13 June 2019, the SNB policy rate replaced the target range for the three-month Swiss franc Libor (London Interbank Offered Rate) previously used in the SNB's monetary policy strategy. The reason for this adjustment was that the Libor was becoming less relevant as the most important reference rate owing to the absence of the underlying money market transactions. From 6 September 2011 to 15 January 2015, the main focus of implementation was on the minimum exchange rate of CHF 1.20 per euro, which the SNB enforced during this period. On 18 December 2014, the SNB decided to impose an interest rate of -0.25% on sight deposit account balances. With the announcement of a negative interest rate, the Libor target range used then was taken into negative territory for the first time, and extended to its usual width of 1 percentage point. On 15 January 2015, the SNB lowered the interest rate on sight deposits to -0.75% and moved the target range downwards to between -1.25% and -0.25%. Negative interest has applied since 22 January 2015 and currently corresponds to the SNB policy rate.

Consumer Confidence

91.9

In Turkey, Consumer Tendency Survey aims to measure present situation assessments and future period expectations of consumers' on personal financial standing and general economic course and to determine consumers' expenditure and saving tendencies for near future. The survey covers a randomly selected sample of all individuals at the age of 15 and above having a job in urban and rural areas. The index is evaluated between 0 and 200. The reading above 100 means consumers are optimistic and below 100 are pessimistic.

Business Climate Indicator

96

In France, the Business Climate Composite Indicator summarizes the information provided by the surveys in manufacturing, services, trade (retail and wholesale), and construction. The business climate is built from 26 balances of opinion from these surveys.

Business Confidence

101

In France, Business Climate measures industrial entrepreneurs’ sentiment about current business situation and expectation about business conditions. The survey sample comprises about 4,000 enterprises in the manufacturing and mining industries. The indicator is calculated using factor analysis technique. The index is then calculated in a way to measure the current sentiment in relation to the historic index values of the period 1993-2011. A value over 110 indicates unusually high optimism and a value under 90 indicates unusually high pessimism. The value 100 indicates neutrality.

Unemployment Rate

4.8%

In Hungary, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Industrial Confidence

2.6

In Norway, Industrial confidence indicator (ICI) Business tendency survey is the arithmetic average of the responses (balances) to the questions on production expectations, total stock of orders and inventories of own products. The indicator is a guide to the level of industrial production since: an expected rise in the level of output gives signals of increased production in the forthcoming quarter; an increase in the total stock of orders indicates a higher level of production due to the future fulfillment of these orders; an increase in the inventories of own products indicates slow sales and reduced activity.

Unemployment Rate

4.5%

In Norway, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Consumer Confidence

-13.7

In Denmark, the consumer confidence indicator analyzes the consumer climate through questions about the economic situation as perceived by consumers at a given time concerning both the general economic situation in Denmark and the financial situation of the family. At present an omnibus survey consists of a sample of about 1,500 persons, drawn from a population of persons aged 16-74 years residing in Denmark.

6-Month T-Bill Auction

Consumer Confidence

-33

In the Netherlands, the Consumer Confidence survey is made by phone and covers 1,000 households. The questions cover the consumer’s assessments on national economy and own financial situation for the past 12 months and expectations for the coming 12 months. The index is then calculated as a difference between the percentage of participants that are optimistic and the share that is pessimistic. Therefore, the index takes a value between -100 (all respondents assess their situation as poor and expect it to become worse) and 100 (all participants are satisfied with the current situation and expect it to improve); 0 indicates neutrality.

Interest Rate Decision

3%

In South Korea the interest rates decisions are taken by the Bank of Korea’s (BOK) Monetary Policy Committee. The official interest rate is the Bank of Korea Base Rate which was changed from overnight call rate on March 2008.